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forecast skill vs. no-change baseline| # | Model | n | Skill | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | Bias | Dir. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No graded predictions yet | ||||||||
Skill score = 1 − RMSE ÷ baseline RMSE, where the baseline is the naive no-change forecast (price stays at its reference value). A positive skill score means the model genuinely beats persistence; 0 ties it; negative is worse. Click any column to re-rank.
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